Live Feed

Quant trader Killa, who has 200,000 followers on X, said on Oct. 4 Bitcoin could surpass its all-time high in the second or third quarter of 2027 as market cycles shorten. According to a chart Killa shared, the time it took to form bottoms in 2022 and 2026 was shorter than in past cycles, accelerating the broader rebound rhythm. Based on that analysis, Killa said BTC is likely to break above its previous record as early as between May and July 2027, and no later than early August. Killa, who previously called the bull-market peak in May 2025 and correctly switched between BTC short and long trades, added that the earlier timing of cycle bottoms suggests the next upward cycle will also arrive sooner.

The key global macro events scheduled for the second week of October are as follows, with times converted from KST to UTC: - Oct. 5, 1:45 p.m. UTC: U.S. September services purchasing managers' index - Oct. 5, 2:00 p.m. UTC: U.S. September ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index - Oct. 7, 2:30 p.m. UTC: U.S. crude oil inventories - Oct. 7, 6:00 p.m. UTC: minutes from the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting - Oct. 8, 12:30 p.m. UTC: U.S. initial jobless claims

CoinMarketCap’s in-house crypto fear and greed index came in at 69, down one point from yesterday, and remained in greed territory. The index indicates extreme fear as it approaches zero and extreme optimism as it nears 100. CoinMarketCap calculates the gauge based on price movements in the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, market volatility, derivatives-market indicators including the put-to-call ratio, the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR), and CoinMarketCap’s own search data.

Spot CVD is an order book analysis chart for the BTC/USDT spot trading pair. The upper section shows a Volume Heatmap, while the lower section represents cumulative volume delta, or CVD. - The Volume Heatmap in the upper section tracks trading volume at each price level, and the background color becomes brighter when the price stays in a specific range for an extended period or makes a large move. Areas closer to brighter colors may act as support or resistance. - The CVD indicator in the lower section reflects buy and sell orders by order size, and the line for each color rises as buy orders increase. The yellow line is based on orders worth $100 to $1,000, while the brown line is based on large orders worth $1 million to $10 million.

Japan on Oct. 2 announced additional sanctions on Russia and designated 33 entities and nine individuals, including crypto exchange Garantex Europe, for asset freezes. Garantex is known to have continued operating through follow-up platform Grinex and ruble-linked stablecoin A7A5 after sanctions by the U.S., UK and EU, as well as a 2025 server seizure.

As of the morning of Oct. 5, aggregated futures positions across about 200 whale accounts holding more than $3 million in assets showed short positions outweighing longs in both BTC and ETH, Odaily reported. BTC long positions stood at about $518 million, versus about $830 million in short positions, for a short-to-long ratio of 0.62. ETH also showed about $687 million in longs and about $1.05 billion in shorts, for a short-to-long ratio of 0.65.

A security incident worth about $6 million occurred at an anonymous vault contract on Ethereum layer-two network Base after an access control flaw was exploited. According to a GoPlus security alert, the attacker added a malicious contract to Safe multisig’s loan approval whitelist, then stole 1,783 aBaswstETH and cashed it out into wstETH on Aave V3. GoPlus pointed to either phishing targeting a multisig signer or insider collusion as possible causes. The issue was confirmed not to stem from flaws in either the Aave protocol or Base itself, though the vault still holds about $31.7 million in assets.

S&P Global Ratings has formally launched a dedicated risk assessment framework for the fast-growing onchain lending vault market. The new framework covers seven core areas, including credit and liquidity risk, as well as curators, blockchain infrastructure, smart contract protocols, security, and governance. Based on the framework, S&P said it plans to roll out formal credit and risk assessments for major onchain lending vaults in stages. Total value locked in the onchain lending vault sector has surged about 6.6 times to $10 billion from $1.5 billion two years ago, as the need for risk management at institutional-grade standards has gained attention alongside market growth. In DeFi, a vault generally refers to an automated yield-generating account, or deposit pool, in which users deposit assets and preprogrammed smart contract algorithms automatically manage and deploy them.

PGPZ, a nonprofit representing the Zcash ecosystem, has registered its first official lobbyist in Washington, D.C., marking the start of a full-scale legislative advocacy effort. PGPZ Executive Director Diviz Pandya has been registered as an official lobbyist and is set to oversee policy engagement with the U.S. Congress on financial privacy, the CLARITY Act, developer protections and anti-money laundering rules. The move shifts policy response functions previously handled by protocol developer ZODL to an independent specialized lobbying organization. PGPZ is also seeking a $750,000 grant from Zcash Community Grants to fund its first year of operations.

Most U.S. congressional staffers see little chance of a digital asset tax bill passing this year, with only 10% expecting crypto tax legislation to clear Congress by Dec. 31, 2026, according to a Punchbowl News survey. The outlook reflects a view that crypto-related legislation has slipped down the priority list amid the post-election schedule. Senator Cynthia Lummis, a prominent crypto-friendly lawmaker, also expressed skepticism about passage this year. Earlier, the House Ways and Means Committee approved the Digital Asset Tax Clarity Act (H.R. 10357) in September by a 38-5 vote.

Coinbase’s layer-two network Base has recorded $4.7 billion in net inflows, or about 6.3 trillion won, since Jan. 1.

Real Vision co-founder Raoul Pal advised crypto and traditional finance investors to keep their portfolios simple and centered on the Nasdaq and Bitcoin. Speaking on the TRADESECRETS podcast, Pal said most retail investors tend to overcomplicate their investments by chasing small-cap altcoins in search of outsized returns. He added that investors willing to take on slightly more risk could substitute major Layer 1 assets for small-cap altcoins, but should avoid indiscriminate token picking. Pal said, "Most people make things overly complicated by chasing the next coin to explode from $100,000 to $100 million, and 99% of investors will not outperform simply holding those assets."

According to CoinNess market monitoring, BTC has risen above $86,000. BTC is trading at $86,000 on the Binance USDT market.

According to CoinNess market monitoring, BTC has risen above $85,000. BTC is trading at $85,018.38 on the Binance USDT market.

According to CoinNess market monitoring, BTC has risen above $85,000. BTC is trading at $85,000 on the Binance USDT market.

We provide real-time cryptocurrency investment updates 24 hours a day from 10:00 p.m. UTC on Sunday through 3:00 p.m. UTC on Saturday. Between 3:00 p.m. UTC on Saturday and 10:00 p.m. UTC on Sunday, investment updates are provided only when major issues arise. Note: Overseas economic breaking news remains available at all times through the CoinNess Live app and CoinNess web service.

Iran’s central bank plans to block rial-denominated bank accounts and payment gateways used by some cryptocurrency exchanges over concerns about market manipulation in USDT trading, Crypto Briefing reported. Earlier, the central bank limited daily USDT purchases to 2,000 on major exchanges including Nobitex and Wallex in late September and halted USDT trading each day from 12:00 p.m. to 12:00 a.m. UTC. If implemented, the latest measure could make it harder for exchange users to deposit rials and buy cryptocurrencies such as USDT.

Of 558 blockchains tracked by DeFiLlama as of Oct. 3, 399, or 71%, generated $0 in fee revenue over the past 24 hours. Only 44 chains posted more than $1,000 in fees. Just seven blockchains generated more than $100,000 in fee revenue, according to DeFiLlama: Solana with $1.09 million, Tron with $922,900, BSC with $793,900, Ethereum with $435,000, Bitcoin with $325,600, Base with $114,800, and Robinhood Chain with $100,900.

According to Kaiko data, 71% of trading volume in Uniswap tokenized stocks in September occurred outside regular U.S. stock market hours. About half of that came when exchanges were fully closed. Kaiko’s data also showed that, among 25 large price gaps that emerged while stock markets were closed, weekend token price moves matched the direction of Monday’s market-opening gap in 20 cases.

Memecoins on the Robinhood chain are undergoing a broad correction and trending lower, according to GMGN. Flagship memecoin PONS has a market capitalization of about $429 million, down 57% from its peak of $990 million, while posting a 19.5% decline over the past 24 hours. Other major memecoins have also extended losses, including INU, down 30.9%, NOSH, down 33.2%, PARE, down 25.4%, MANY, down 20.4%, and microduck, down 21.7%.

Selling by investors who bought BTC near cycle highs has increased recently, according to a Glassnode analysis. Glassnode said investors who bought one to two years ago at $97,000 and six to 12 months ago at $89,000 are now underwater, adding daily BTC selling by buyers from the 2025 bull market has reached its highest level this year, while investors who accumulated during the bear market are not engaging in large-scale selling.

Bitcoin could rise to around $190,858 if the BTC/gold ratio recovers to its December 2024 peak of 40.1 ounces, Adam Livingston, vice president of investments at Bitcoin-accumulation company Strive (NASDAQ: ASST), said, according to Bitcoin.com. Based on an assumption that gold climbs to $4,760 per ounce, that would put BTC about 51% above its current all-time high. In related analysis, the media outlet said that if that scenario plays out, the value of Strategy’s 847,666 BTC would increase to about $161.8 billion (219 trillion won), with unrealized gains reaching roughly $98.0 billion.

Greek police have uncovered a fraud ring targeting cryptocurrency investors and arrested 17 people, including nine military personnel, local media outlet Protothema reported. According to the report, the group is estimated to have defrauded victims of more than €8 million ($8.8 million), with around 10,000 people affected. Police have so far seized €280,000 ($308,000).

Coinbase has obtained a derivatives clearing organization license from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, allowing it to clear fully collateralized futures, options on futures, and swaps in-house without using a third-party clearer, Odaily reported. The approval could also advance the USDC-collateralized futures product partnership Coinbase announced with Nodal Clear in June last year. The CFTC, however, did not disclose the specific underlying assets or swap types Coinbase is permitted to clear.

Bitcoin could face a short-term pullback to $82,500 after being rejected again near $87,000, well-known crypto trader Ali Martinez said on X. Martinez said whales sold more than 30,000 BTC during Bitcoin’s recent rise. He added that if BTC falls to $82,500 and whales begin accumulating again, it could be seen as a buy-the-dip signal. In that case, a rebound targeting $87,000 could follow.